Let’s clarify a couple of things. As I said yesterday, the staff has already made two moves that made my day this week. They’re starting Randall Cobb at quarterback and Moncell Allen at running back. Eric Crawford did a better job arguing in favor of Cobb than anybody else could, so let me focus on Allen. I like Alfonso Smith, and I think there’s a place on this roster for Tony Dixon, but since Derrick Locke’s injury, I think Allen has played the best out of the remaining backs. I believe that conditioning has prevented him from getting more snaps, but all you have to do is watch him run to see why the coaches made him #1 this week. Allen is the only back who has shown the ability to fall forward on a consistent basis and pick up solid yardage after the initial hit. State has a physical defense, so Allen should work out just great. Here is the rest of the checklist for tomorrow.
* Hold Anthony Dixon to 3 YPC or less. Dixon torched UK last year, and even though there were several players injured at the time, I don’t think having those guys in there would have mattered much. Dixon is an absolute freight train, night and day from the Olympic sprinters of Florida. I do think that an offense like that of MSU is easier to defend than Florida (both in formations and personnel), but Dixon stands out for the Bulldogs. Stop him, and it leads to the next item.
* Make the Bulldogs beat you through the air. State has tall, lanky receivers, but they always have those guys. The ones that brutalized UK last year are gone, and I haven’t been particularly impressed with what little I’ve seen of their young replacements. MSU turned its season around after switching quarterbacks, but now Tyson Lee has been starting instead of last year’s starter, Wesley Carroll. Hopefully Kentucky’s defense will put the game in the hands of both Bulldog quarterbacks, just like they did to Casey Dick in the fourth quarter against Arkansas.
* Zero special teams blunders. But then again, maybe this is asking too much.
For what it’s worth, I do think that Kentucky could have solved some of its offensive woes with these personnel changes, but if not, I’ll gladly eat some crow – just not from the fans of the cowbell. I predict a close, physical victory in the 17-14 range. I don’t know why I’m predicting a UK victory with a score that hinges on a special teams play, but that’s just how I feel on this one.
I’m Seth Stogsdill, and this is shaping up to be an epic Saturday.





